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Pototan

(2,287 posts) Fri Jan 24, 2025, 02:50 AM Jan 24

21

For 125 years, Democrats win the White House when... [View all]

Last edited Fri Jan 24, 2025, 05:17 PM - Edit history (1)

one of two things happen. In almost every case, the Dems win election to the White House (incumbents don't count) when the Republican base is split by a viable third-party candidate (1912 and 1992) or when there is a catastrophic event created or worsened by a Republican President and policies (1932, 2008, 2020). We seldom take over from a stable Republican administration (1960 is an exception).

I think, unfortunately, there will be a catastrophic event during the next 4 years. God help us.

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13 replies

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Highlight:

For 125 years, Democrats win the White House when... [View all] Pototan Jan 24 OP

I'll put it in the next 4 months. William769 Jan 24 #1

I wouldn't be surprised if it is 4 weeks. Wiz Imp Jan 24 #8

"...there will be *A* catastrophic event..." RockRaven Jan 24 #2

may that ever be... Layzeebeaver Jan 24 #3

only trump has the mass to curve reality itself rampartd Jan 24 #5

"...there will be a catastrophic event during the next 4 years." J_William_Ryan Jan 24 #4

The scumbag administration is the catastrophe. Grokenstein Jan 24 #6

Like many, I fear the catastrophic event may be a Reichstag fire. n/t Mister Ed Jan 24 #7

The Republican base wasn't split in 96 SocialDemocrat61 Jan 24 #9

My mistake. I meant 1992 Pototan Jan 24 #10

It wasn't split in 92 either SocialDemocrat61 Jan 24 #11

Thank you, I was going to make this same point. tritsofme Jan 24 #12

You're welcome SocialDemocrat61 Jan 24 #13

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