General Discussion

Pototan

(2,264 posts) Fri Jan 24, 2025, 02:50 AM Jan 24

For 125 years, Democrats win the White House when...

Last edited Fri Jan 24, 2025, 05:17 PM - Edit history (1)

one of two things happen. In almost every case, the Dems win election to the White House (incumbents don't count) when the Republican base is split by a viable third-party candidate (1912 and 1992) or when there is a catastrophic event created or worsened by a Republican President and policies (1932, 2008, 2020). We seldom take over from a stable Republican administration (1960 is an exception).

I think, unfortunately, there will be a catastrophic event during the next 4 years. God help us.

13 replies

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Highlight:

For 125 years, Democrats win the White House when... (Original Post) Pototan Jan 24 OP

I'll put it in the next 4 months. William769 Jan 24 #1

I wouldn't be surprised if it is 4 weeks. Wiz Imp Jan 24 #8

"...there will be *A* catastrophic event..." RockRaven Jan 24 #2

may that ever be... Layzeebeaver Jan 24 #3

only trump has the mass to curve reality itself rampartd Jan 24 #5

"...there will be a catastrophic event during the next 4 years." J_William_Ryan Jan 24 #4

The scumbag administration is the catastrophe. Grokenstein Jan 24 #6

Like many, I fear the catastrophic event may be a Reichstag fire. n/t Mister Ed Jan 24 #7

The Republican base wasn't split in 96 SocialDemocrat61 Jan 24 #9

My mistake. I meant 1992 Pototan Jan 24 #10

It wasn't split in 92 either SocialDemocrat61 Jan 24 #11

Thank you, I was going to make this same point. tritsofme Jan 24 #12

You're welcome SocialDemocrat61 Jan 24 #13

William769

(56,581 posts)

1. I'll put it in the next 4 months.

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Fri Jan 24, 2025, 02:54 AM

Jan 24

Wiz Imp

(3,383 posts)

8. I wouldn't be surprised if it is 4 weeks.

Reply to William769 (Reply #1)

Fri Jan 24, 2025, 09:05 AM

Jan 24

RockRaven

(16,783 posts)

2. "...there will be *A* catastrophic event..."

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Fri Jan 24, 2025, 02:54 AM

Jan 24

Oh, you optimist!

Layzeebeaver

(1,899 posts)

3. may that ever be...

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Fri Jan 24, 2025, 02:55 AM

Jan 24

Stroke
Heart Attack
Fall
Congestive anything

Trump is only a part of the problem, but not having that that one problem makes addressing the other problems a bit more accessible..

rampartd

(1,399 posts)

5. only trump has the mass to curve reality itself

Reply to Layzeebeaver (Reply #3)

Fri Jan 24, 2025, 03:49 AM

Jan 24

i think vance and the others can, at least, be held to some kind of objective facts.

J_William_Ryan

(2,393 posts)

4. "...there will be a catastrophic event during the next 4 years."

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Fri Jan 24, 2025, 03:06 AM

Jan 24

Trump’s election was a catastrophic event.

Grokenstein

(5,890 posts)

6. The scumbag administration is the catastrophe.

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Fri Jan 24, 2025, 04:02 AM

Jan 24

Everything that follows is just its symptoms.

Mister Ed

(6,438 posts)

7. Like many, I fear the catastrophic event may be a Reichstag fire. n/t

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Fri Jan 24, 2025, 05:48 AM

Jan 24

SocialDemocrat61

(3,406 posts)

9. The Republican base wasn't split in 96

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Fri Jan 24, 2025, 03:40 PM

Jan 24

Bill Clinton was an incumbent President running against a weak Republican challenger. Ross Perot pulled from both democrats and Republicans equally so he wasn't a factor.