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Election Reform

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Richard Charnin

(69 posts)
Wed Dec 14, 2011, 07:47 PM Dec 2011

Unadjusted 2000 State Exit Polls (and the True Vote Model) indicate Al Gore won by 5-7 million votes [View all]

Last edited Fri Dec 16, 2011, 07:20 PM - Edit history (1)

First there was the 2000 Judicial Coup and then the long-running media con that Bush really did win. Let's take another look.

Source article with links to 1988-2008 unadjusted state exit poll data and the 1988-2008 State and National True Vote Model (Google Doc spreadsheet workbooks):
http://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2011/11/21/unadjusted-state-exit-polls-indicate-that-al-gore-won-a-mini-landslide-in-2000/

Al Gore won the unadjusted state exit polls (58,000 respondents) by 50.8-44.4%, a 6 MILLION VOTE MARGIN compared to the 540,000 recorded. There were nearly 6 MILLION UNCOUNTED votes - the great majority were Gore votes.

The True Vote Model, based on 1996 and 2000 votes cast, was a close match to Gore's exit poll share. He had a 50.0% True share assuming he had 75% of 8 million returning 1996 voters whose ballots were uncounted and 75% of 6 million uncounted votes in 2000.

Gore won the unadjusted exit poll in the following 11 states:
AL AR AZ CO FL GA MO NC TN TX VA
But all flipped to Bush. Gore would have won the election if he held just ONE.

The 9.8% exit poll/recorded vote margin discrepancy was exceeded in 10 states:
TX AL NC TN GA AR ID MD SC FL

The theft was a prologue of what was to come in 2004 and 2008.

In 2004, the margin discrepancy exceeded 10% in 15 states:
VT DE AK CT SC VA NJ HI NH MS PA UT MN NM OH

In 2008, the 10% margin discrepancy was exceeded in an astounding 28 states.


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