Kemp and Ossoff, with the resources kicked in and another year of Trump failures, would have been a close race, but I'd give the advantage to Ossoff. Now that Kemp isn't running, Ossoff will keep that seat blue.
With the kind of damage Trump is doing, I would not surprised to see the Democrats pick up seats that the status quo predictions might not think are up for grabs. There are three I'd bet on. Maine, where Collins is going to lose, North Carolina where, if Roy Cooper runs, will go blue and Kentucky, if Andy Beshear runs, will take McConnell's seat. With some effort, and a decent strategy focused on taking Trump down with them, I'd bet Democrats could pick up Iowa and Ohio. They are going to have to keep a much sharper eye out for cheating and stealing, and they are going to have to lay a lot of groundwork to undermine the GOP who can't run away from Trump. That will end in disaster sooner than later.
There is not a senator in this bunch who is more disconnected and disinterested in her constituents than West Virginia's Shelly Capito-Moore. She's a Trump humping bigot, who is against everything a majority of her constituents need to survive. The Biden administration, with support from the state's last Democratic senator, invested millions in revitalizing rural hospitals, in one community where one had closed they supported and undergirded local financing efforts and re-opened a closed 75 bed hospital and a much needed emergency room. Capito-Moore cast votes against the appropriations where those dollars came from. But aside from a couple of blurbs in one of the local papers, and on a local news show, the Biden administration investment went virtually unreported. But she'll campaign on that hospital re-opening, even though had the votes gone her way, no money would have been available.
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