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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(115,002 posts)
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 06:54 PM Mar 2020

With 2020 race all but halted over coronavirus, Biden quietly widens lead over Trump: Reuters/Ipsos

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Democratic presidential front-runner Joe Biden has quietly expanded his lead over President Donald Trump among registered voters, even as the rapidly spreading coronavirus has all but sidelined the former vice president's campaign, according to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll released on Tuesday.

The poll conducted on Monday and Tuesday of more than 1,100 American adults found that 46% of registered voters said they would support Biden if he were running against Trump in the Nov. 3 election, while 40% said they would vote for Trump.

That advantage of 6 percentage points was up from a 1-point lead for Biden recorded in a similar poll that ran from March 6 to 9.

The result suggested that Biden had not been hurt politically from his lack of visibility while the Republican president is at the center of a government response to a pandemic that has infected more than 184,000 people in the United States and killed more than 3,700 people.

https://news.yahoo.com/2020-race-halted-over-coronavirus-225406453.html

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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With 2020 race all but halted over coronavirus, Biden quietly widens lead over Trump: Reuters/Ipsos (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Mar 2020 OP
Not to throw cold water on this, but polls like these do not matter. Yavin4 Mar 2020 #1
You beat me to the punch. TomSlick Mar 2020 #2
A Question, Sir The Magistrate Mar 2020 #4
Biden actually doesn't even need 4 of those, just three bearsfootball516 Mar 2020 #5
It's simple math. Yavin4 Mar 2020 #6
Thank You Both, Gentlemen The Magistrate Mar 2020 #7
Kick & recommended. William769 Mar 2020 #3
 

Yavin4

(36,234 posts)
1. Not to throw cold water on this, but polls like these do not matter.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 07:01 PM
Mar 2020

Trump is going to get destroyed in the popular vote simply because NY and CA are going to come out in droves to vote against him, and that was before the virus.

The only states that truly matter are FLA, PENN, MI, OH, and WISC. Trump needs to win all of those states and retain his red states. Biden needs to win 4 of them and retain his blue states.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

TomSlick

(11,849 posts)
2. You beat me to the punch.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 07:14 PM
Mar 2020

One thing we proved last time around is that national polls are worse than irrelevant. They are worse than irrelevant because they lull us into a false sense of security.

We don't have a national election. We have fifty state elections. As you note, the polls that would be informative are Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio and Wisconsin. Because hope springs eternal, I would be curious to see polls from Texas.

National polling is a waste of money and misleading.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

The Magistrate

(96,043 posts)
4. A Question, Sir
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 07:21 PM
Mar 2020

If the cheap thug Trump needs all five of those states, how is it Mr. Biden needs four of them?

I am not the sort to fool about with 'interactive' maps and such.

I would appreciate an explanation.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

bearsfootball516

(6,502 posts)
5. Biden actually doesn't even need 4 of those, just three
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 07:24 PM
Mar 2020

If he flips Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania and holds all the Hillary states, he reaches 270.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Yavin4

(36,234 posts)
6. It's simple math.
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 07:54 PM
Mar 2020

Normally, the big 4 electoral states, NY, CA, TX, and FLA, split between the Dem and Republican. That makes toss up states like OH, Penn., MI, and WISC important.

Biden could win with only three of those states, but that's too close for comfort. A better strategy would be to win 4 of the 5. A even better strategy would be to win all 5.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

The Magistrate

(96,043 posts)
7. Thank You Both, Gentlemen
Tue Mar 31, 2020, 09:50 PM
Mar 2020

I appreciate the clarification.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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