Democratic Primaries

George II

(67,782 posts) Tue Mar 17, 2020, 10:12 AM Mar 2020

Here is 538's forecast for ALL of the remaining primaries/caucuses. WHAT possible reason would....

...Sanders have to hold out after tonight's results? He's not even close to leading in a SINGLE one!!

As of now Biden has 913 delegates, Sanders 752.

The ultimate totals will be 2,331 to 1,350.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

19 replies

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Here is 538's forecast for ALL of the remaining primaries/caucuses. WHAT possible reason would.... (Original Post) George II Mar 2020 OP

After tonight, Sanders will be behind by 325 delegates NCProgressive Mar 2020 #1

Because that's how he rolls. The Velveteen Ocelot Mar 2020 #2

What do the numbers in the last two columns indicate? # of delegates? apcalc Mar 2020 #3

Yes. Biden is forecast to win 70% of ALL remaining delegates. Add the bottom totals..... George II Mar 2020 #4

no more debates..Joes needs to go into General election mode now... samnsara Mar 2020 #5

Why does BS continue? Same old BS empedocles Mar 2020 #6

He thinks he can get traction for his agenda by staying in. Amaryllis Mar 2020 #7

his worker bees are out trying to suppress the vote. They think by telling older voters Thekaspervote Mar 2020 #8

My guess is that many older voters have already voted by mail if they can. George II Mar 2020 #9

Joe might die before July? Laelth Mar 2020 #10

That's repulsive. showblue22 Mar 2020 #16

That must be why Tulsi is still in the race IronLionZion Mar 2020 #18

We don't need a President BidenBacker Mar 2020 #11

And who would persist when voting puts lives in danger... Native Mar 2020 #12

Sure doesn't appear so BidenBacker Mar 2020 #14

Well, he did win North Mariana Islands ucrdem Mar 2020 #13

Bernie has that pose ready BidenBacker Mar 2020 #17

George, you da man! William769 Mar 2020 #15

Even in the "open" and "semi-open" and "caucus" states... NurseJackie Mar 2020 #19

NCProgressive

(1,315 posts)

1. After tonight, Sanders will be behind by 325 delegates

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Mar 17, 2020, 10:15 AM

Mar 2020

He will have to win 71% of the remaining delegates to win.

The handwriting is on the wall. The math is not complicated.

Drop out Bernie.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

The Velveteen Ocelot

(120,694 posts)

2. Because that's how he rolls.

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Mar 17, 2020, 10:15 AM

Mar 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

apcalc

(4,517 posts)

3. What do the numbers in the last two columns indicate? # of delegates?

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Mar 17, 2020, 10:17 AM

Mar 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

George II

(67,782 posts)

4. Yes. Biden is forecast to win 70% of ALL remaining delegates. Add the bottom totals.....

Reply to apcalc (Reply #3)

Tue Mar 17, 2020, 10:18 AM

Mar 2020

....to what they already have (I'll do that in the OP) for final delegate totals.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

samnsara

(18,281 posts)

5. no more debates..Joes needs to go into General election mode now...

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Mar 17, 2020, 10:18 AM

Mar 2020

...he needs to move past this primary silliness and focus his ads and rhetoric on how trump* is killing us!!! literally!!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

empedocles

(15,751 posts)

6. Why does BS continue? Same old BS

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Mar 17, 2020, 10:21 AM

Mar 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Amaryllis

(9,802 posts)

7. He thinks he can get traction for his agenda by staying in.

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Mar 17, 2020, 10:21 AM

Mar 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Thekaspervote

(34,589 posts)

8. his worker bees are out trying to suppress the vote. They think by telling older voters

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Mar 17, 2020, 10:22 AM

Mar 2020

To stay home due to health scares, it will till it in sanders direction. Too many people have already voted, or voted by mail. It may push vote totals down, but across the board won’t change the outcome. It will be interesting to see final counts

Especially looking at the totals on the chart you posted. 70% Biden, 30% sanders. Nothing is going to shift that much to put sanders over the top

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

George II

(67,782 posts)

9. My guess is that many older voters have already voted by mail if they can.

Reply to Thekaspervote (Reply #8)

Tue Mar 17, 2020, 10:24 AM

Mar 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Laelth

(32,017 posts)

10. Joe might die before July?

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Mar 17, 2020, 10:26 AM

Mar 2020

Any of us might.

Obviously, I am not wishing for anyone’s demise.

-Laelth

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

showblue22

(1,026 posts)

16. That's repulsive.

Reply to Laelth (Reply #10)

Tue Mar 17, 2020, 11:48 AM

Mar 2020

But not beneath Bernie to think that.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

IronLionZion

(46,938 posts)

18. That must be why Tulsi is still in the race

Reply to Laelth (Reply #10)

Tue Mar 17, 2020, 01:20 PM

Mar 2020

a young healthy millennial

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

BidenBacker

(1,089 posts)

11. We don't need a President

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Mar 17, 2020, 10:27 AM

Mar 2020

who can't read the writing on the wall.

We already have one who doesn't read at all.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Native

(6,465 posts)

12. And who would persist when voting puts lives in danger...

Reply to BidenBacker (Reply #11)

Tue Mar 17, 2020, 10:41 AM

Mar 2020

I could see it if he had even the slightest chance, but he has none.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

BidenBacker

(1,089 posts)

14. Sure doesn't appear so

Reply to Native (Reply #12)

Tue Mar 17, 2020, 11:43 AM

Mar 2020

Bernie certainly was a lot closer in 2016 when he won around 22 or 23 states and had roughly 45% of the vote.

But the dude ain't gonna come anywhere close to that this year. Guess they got all excited when there were umpteen candidates in the field and his supporters thought he might get the nomination with only 25% or 30% of the vote. Thank God it got whittled down so fast because that woulda been a total disaster.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

ucrdem

(15,703 posts)

13. Well, he did win North Mariana Islands

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Mar 17, 2020, 10:46 AM

Mar 2020

Last edited Tue Mar 17, 2020, 11:27 AM - Edit history (1)

He and Tulsi can be our Carnival King and Queen

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

BidenBacker

(1,089 posts)

17. Bernie has that pose ready

Reply to ucrdem (Reply #13)

Tue Mar 17, 2020, 11:56 AM

Mar 2020

All's we gotta do is attach some long tinsel to his arms and he's ready to strut.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

William769

(55,815 posts)

15. George, you da man!

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Mar 17, 2020, 11:46 AM

Mar 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)

19. Even in the "open" and "semi-open" and "caucus" states...

Reply to George II (Original post)

Tue Mar 17, 2020, 01:25 PM

Mar 2020

Even in the "open" and "semi-open" and "caucus" states which typically give a little extra boost to Bernie... he's doing MISERABLY!

This is DEVASTATING. Look how his campaign has CRATERED! I've never seen anything like it! It's totally IMPLODING!! Absolutely HUMILIATING!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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