538 forecast for Tuesday's four primaries:

[George II]

State Biden/Sanders/Margin

Arizona 40.4/26.6/13.8
Florida 160.6/58.4/102.2
Illinois 97.2/57.8/39.4
Ohio 82.5/53.5/29.0
Total 380.7/196.3/184.4

Biden's delegate lead will increase by about 180 to a total of roughly 330.

[JaneQPublic]

1. So you're saying Bernie still has a chance?

Sorry. Couldn't help the "Dumb and Dumber" reference.

[NCProgressive]

2. Math and Map are both pointing downhill for Sanders

[MineralMan]

3. That would put Biden at about 1280 delegates or so.

He's moving up on that 1991 majority figure, it seems to me.

[SCantiGOP]

4. If they get to vote

How many people are going to see going to a voting site as risking their life? Especially older (i.e., likely Biden) voters.

[NurseJackie]

5. Wow! Look at FLORIDA!! Bernie continues to CRATER!! His whole campaign is IMPLODING!!

Will his colleagues respect him less after all this is over?

[George II]

8. Do they now? 14 Senators have endorsed Biden, only 1 (Leahy) has endorsed Sanders.

[NurseJackie]

12. I guess he's not as popular as we've been often told.

I know that Hillary doesn't think much of him, she's said (recently in a HULU special) that nobody likes him and I also recently read an article (an older one) where Barney Frank was sharing his recollections about how Bernie's "tactics" would often gum-up the works and spoil things that others had worked long hours on... negotiating and shepherding and consolidating... thus confirming that his "amendment king" moniker really wasn't something that people admired.

I'll have to see if I can find that Barney Frank story and post it. It was very interesting.

[getagrip_already]

6. Remember bernie kept campaigning after Clinton got a plurality of delegates.....

His goal isn't to win. His goal is to destroy the democratic party so he can step in as the savior.

[George II]

7. He was hoping (at least that's what Weaver told us) that they could get a super majority of...

...the super delegates that would give him the nomination, even though about 80% of them endorsed Clinton.

This year the super delegates don't vote on the first ballot, and Biden will have the magic 1991 by the middle of April.

[getagrip_already]

9. He will still find some excuse, but the irony here is that

It was bernie who demanded a change to superdelegate voting rules.

I guess he thought he was going to get to the vote leading with 30%.

[IronLionZion]

10. Just wait until Tulsi Gabbard pulls off a surprise upset

shocking all the experts

[Sloumeau]

11. From looking at the past few Democratic Primaries...

Once someone takes the lead of about 200 pledged delegates, it is pretty much over. There is usually not enough time or enough big states to recover after that.

[George II]

17. There are 31 more primaries/caucuses. Biden is leading in EVERY single one of them...

Biden should pass 1991 by mid-April, if not sooner.

[subana]

13. I saw one of Sander's people on MSNBC today

I forget if Craig Melvin or Kasie interviewed him. They asked him about if he was going to end his campaign. The guy said they were plotting their course going forward & that there are some states where they could win. I forget the actual words he used but he made it sound like some states that have a large delegate count that could benefit him!

I thought, "where"? Most of the large delegate states have already voted. The only other I can think of is Florida & it's not at all likely that Bernie will win there!

[George II]

14. There are only seven states remaining with more than 100 delegates - three vote next week and one...

...the week after (Georgia). He has no chance in any of them. The others are NY and PA on April 28 (more than a month away) and the last is NJ who doesn't vote until JUNE!

[subana]

16. haha....that was pretty much my reaction too!

they're just trying to paint a positive picture so that their fans won't lose hope. But I think it's already too late for him now!

He probably is hoping that NJ is good to him but by that time, even delegates from NJ won't be able to offer that much help!

[Demsrule86]

15. K&R

[disndat]

18. I can't believe it.

Less than 2 weeks ago, I was anguishing whether Joe has a chance. Now he has an insurmountable lead.
Plus he did it with it $0.0 campaign money after the New Hampshire primary.