Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumSo, Bernie, how are you going to pay for the free stuff? Details please
That's the only question Joe has to ask and one which Bernie has danced around through the whole primary season so far.
Bernie's programs sound great, but how would he convince Congress they would save money by enacting them. $35 trillion? $60 trillion? Exactly where will it come from?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
HarlanPepper
(2,042 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)....and your father died at 59 of a heart attack, don't you think we deserve more information about your heart condition?"
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
mindem
(1,580 posts)people love the show but the end result is buying snake oil from a charlatan.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
William769
(55,815 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Claustrum
(5,052 posts)This is the problem I have when they keep showing the m4a exit poll number. Yes, of course I am all for m4a when you don't attach a dollar sign next to it. However, when you ask the question again if people are for m4a if they have to pay a 15% health tax on top (I am just pulling this out using the UK version from a quick google search, they have a health tax ranging from 15-50%, correct me if anyone is more familiar with the UK version), I am sure the 70% support would go down dramatically.
This is similar to asking me if I want a million dollars given to me. Of course I am saying yes. But the question is then changed to, I will be given a million dollar if I have to sacrifice my first born for it. I will quickly say no.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
squirecam
(2,706 posts)But what about the middle child?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Well, if your first born was sacrifice and never existed, maybe the second is your first anyways?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
pampango
(24,692 posts)an effective safety net, universal health care, affordable college, equitable distributions of income, better mass transit and infrastructure rather than spending 10 times what the rest of the world does on the military and constantly cutting taxes for the rich and corporations.
Conservatives love to stigmatize any liberal government program designed to help regular people as 'those people just want free stuff'.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Jersey Devil
(10,333 posts)Bernie's programs are great. But I haven't heard any explanation from him about how we could possibly pay for them. Until he can do that and convince the voters, and Congress, that would would save money in the long run by adopting his programs then they are just pie in the sky and indeed, "free stuff".
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
pampango
(24,692 posts)That will surely get us closer to having a government that pays attention to the needs of average people instead of funding 'free stuff' for the Defense Department and the rich. They need the 'free stuff' much more than we do.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Jersey Devil
(10,333 posts)I agree with the programs. I just don't see how they can be paid for. Surely Bernie must have worked this out over the past few years when all he has done was talk about the programs non-stop. What taxes go up and by how much?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
pampango
(24,692 posts)High progressive income taxes - not as high as they were during FDR's time - a liberal who knew how to structure a 'European' government (high progressive taxes and a lot of 'free stuff' liberal programs for regular people - long before the Europeans figured it out) but high enough. That plus cutting military spending more than a little bit.
Does Biden have any ideas for new spending programs? How is he planning on paying for them? Perhaps we can work something out by combining the two.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Jersey Devil
(10,333 posts)These are not bad ideas. You don't have to go back to FDR either. When I started working in the early 70s the max tax rate for personal income taxes was something like 90%.
But my point was, why doesn't Bernie spell that out? You can't just throw out all these programs without explaining how they are going to be paid for. You have to show people it will cost you x dollars more in taxes but you will save y dollars on your premiums, etc. Bernie has done none of that.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
pampango
(24,692 posts)I bet Bernie has gone further in explaining the funding for his proposals than FDR did during the 1932 election.
Sanders releases list of how to pay for his proposals
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/484454-sanders-releases-list-of-how-to-pay-for-his-proposals
But I suppose that the 'liberals just want free stuff' meme will never die.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Hav
(5,969 posts)on how to realize these programs. It's what I've been saying all along. If you want those social programs, prepare to pay similar taxes like those social democracies. I think it would be worth it. Many BS supporters don't seem to see it that way and misunderstand what some people call "free healthcare". BS is certainly shying away from explaining it like you did. But I don't see any other way how to achieve it otherwise.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
brush
(57,413 posts)News Flash: You get elected first, then, providing we have Congress as well, you implement your programs.
You have to be smart.
You think FDR promised all the New Deal plans when campaigning?
No.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(154,214 posts)Link to tweet
Sanders' plan would also increase the size of government far more than any modern Republican president, including Ronald Reagan, has sought to cut it, Summers' analysis concluded.
"On the spending side, ... this is far more radical than all previous presidencies, on either the right or the left," Summers said in an interview. "The Sanders spending increase is roughly 2.5 times the size of the New Deal and the estimated fiscal impact of George McGovern's campaign proposals. This is six times as large of a growth of government than any of the Ronald Reagan dismemberments. We are in a kind of new era of radical proposal."
Exact cost projections on all of Sanders' proposals aren't available, in part because he hasn't fully fleshed out some of the ideas he's embraced (such as universal pre-K and child care). But a wide variety of estimates put the likely cost of the single-payer health care plan he has endorsed around $30 trillion or more over the next decade. Depending on the estimates used, including projections from his own campaign, the other elements of the Sanders agenda -- ranging from his "Green New Deal" to the cancellation of all student debt to a guaranteed federal jobs program that has received almost no scrutiny -- could cost about as much, or even more than, the single-payer plan. That would potentially bring his 10-year total for new spending to around $60 trillion, or more.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
delisen
(6,440 posts)Other countries manage to afford many things. We came up for money for Iraq war .
The unaffordability argument is weak and i am not a Sanders supporter
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Jersey Devil
(10,333 posts)How much do we have to take from the military? Where are the numbers?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Grokenstein
(5,824 posts)"...you have to answer MINE!!"
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Meadowoak
(6,209 posts)Pay the govt for your insurance instead. Your employer would probably only pay half of what they already pay and you would have better coverage. No deductibles or co pays. Many people don't go to the doctor because they can't afford the co pay.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Jersey Devil
(10,333 posts)So if Bernie's MFA plan has no co pays, does that mean my Medicare premiums will go up? If so, where will that money come from?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(154,214 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
budkin
(6,849 posts)Do you have a problem with that?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Jersey Devil
(10,333 posts)and say "Pay for it". How much? What tax rates?
Bernie has been working on this for years. Surely there must be some numbers he can cite. But he hasn't
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hav
(5,969 posts)If you want the benefits of a government run or supported/regulated healthcare system that pretty much guarantees healthcare for all, expect to pay for it with your taxes. Literally, put your money where your mouth is. Handing your bill over to someone else and believing that this creates a sustainable social system, is a fantasy.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
budkin
(6,849 posts)Why would it not work here? Greed?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hav
(5,969 posts)Directly or indirectly, either by the state or through (regulated) insurance companies by paying a percentage of your income. A serious approach is something like 10-15% of your income for healthcare. Saying just make someone else pay for it is not a serious proposal.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
budkin
(6,849 posts)What exactly is the big deal with this? Why do moderates fight against it so hard? The current health care system is an absolute joke. The fact that you can go bankrupt due to issues out of your control is absolutely unacceptable.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hav
(5,969 posts)"Moderates" don't fight against that principle. I absolutely agree, there need to be changes for the healthcare system, no one should go bankrupt. But there needs to be an honest discussion about it in regards to how it's financed. Did BS propose paying it through raising taxes for everybody? Because the kind of his supporters who say what's not to love about free college and free healthcare obviously see it differently.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
guillaumeb
(42,649 posts)If the example of every other country holds true, it would be cheaper.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
budkin
(6,849 posts)People are just being plain dishonest claiming he's telling his supporters it's all going to be "free."
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
guillaumeb
(42,649 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NYMinute
(3,256 posts)to pay for all that.
The fact of the matter is that the US treasury collects about $2 trillion in taxes each year, about a trillion of which comes from "rich" people. So even if the "rich" people pay 10 times more, it will still result in a massive deficit.
I Know someone who won a $500K lottery and promised all sorts of things to siblings, nieces, nephews and parents.
When she only got $123K in hand (cash value of payments over time) after paying income tax, she couldn't fulfill a single promise.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
pampango
(24,692 posts)And again saying that we can't have what other developed countries have because we can't pay for it, begs the question, "Why can't we pay for the same liberal programs that Germany, Sweden and a host of other developed countries have?" They don't just 'soak the rich' but they do quite a bit of that.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
NYMinute
(3,256 posts)and the war saved him.
Germany and Sweden are nearly homogeneous cultures - one can't compare America with them.
The situation is completely different now.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
pampango
(24,692 posts)We should be better able to fund liberal programs since we are not in a depressed economy.
"The war saved him." So he was a failure until Hitler and Tojo came to his rescue? That is an interesting take on history.
So we can't have what 'homogenous cultures' countries can have? So we're kind of doomed. A multi-racial, multi-cultural country is doomed. Canada seems to do a decent job of making such a country work.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
NYMinute
(3,256 posts)FDR inherited the economy when it was nearly bankrupt and the country was in a deep depression.
Start of the war rejuvenated the economy and money started flowing in to the government coffers.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
pampango
(24,692 posts)Our economy is not bankrupt and the government takes in plenty of money - though maybe not as much as before the big tax cuts for the rich and corporations.
FDR did little to rejuvenate the economy until the war came and money started flowing to government coffers? I have heard republicans make that argument but rarely Democrats.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
NYMinute
(3,256 posts)If we were a poor nation, we would be bankrupt. Only because we are America can we keep borrowing.
We spend $2 trillion more each year than we take in. There is no extra money.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
pampango
(24,692 posts)There is no extra money if we keep doing things as republicans have done them.
"We spend $2 trillion more each year than we take in."
And that is why republicans from Reagan on love to run up the deficit. When a Democratic administration follows them, there is no extra money. Trump has done an excellent job of that. Just as, I expect, Herbert Hoover had done to FDR. My guess is that when FDR came to the White House his advisers were telling him that Hoover left no extra money.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
NYMinute
(3,256 posts)I proved that the current situation is not like FDR's and also that Bernie is no FDR.
The first thing that Biden will have to do is change the tax burden from middle class to upper classes while reducing the deficit.
Then he will have to install a public option to Obamacare and shore it up so many more people can get affordable coverage.
Then he will have to find a way to assist with college tuition with income/wealth criteria as well as education in fields that are critically in short supply in the US. There shouldn't be freebie education to get a degree in "aquarium psychoanalysis" just because it is some kid's passion.
Naturally STEM degrees and applied fields would be prioritized.
All those things can pass without filibusters.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(154,214 posts)Link to tweet
Whether most Americans prefer Sanderss statist agenda to the alleged abuses of corporations and Wall Street (the notorious top 1 percent) is what defines this election. Whatever the case, Sanders is proposing a hugely expensive transformation.
Lets examine the $50 trillion. The list below shows various spending programs that Sanders has proposed, with one important exception: The first item on the list is the Congressional Budget Offices estimate of the deficits under existing policies for the next decade. That figure is $13.1 trillion.
Sanderss Spending, 2021-2030:
1. Deficits under existing policies: $13.1 trillion
2. Free college for all and the cancellation of existing student debt: $2.2 trillion
3. Expand Social Security and other retirement benefits: $1.4 trillion (estimated by the Progressive Policy Institute)
4. Housing for all: $2.5 trillion
5. Eliminating household medical debt: $81 billion
6. Green New Deal (programs to stop global warming): $16.3 trillion
7. Universal child care and preschool: $1.5 trillion
8. Medicare-for-all: $17.5 trillion
Total: $54.6 trillion
Sanderss proposals wont raise nearly as much money as he thinks they will, says Howard Gleckman of the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center. Even if they did, they wont pay for everything he wants.
For example, Sanders proposes a wealth tax on taxpayers with a net worth (assets minus liabilities) of $32 million or more. The tax would gradually rise from 1 percent up to 8 percent on fortunes exceeding $10 billion. Sanders estimates this would raise $4.35 trillion over a decade.
Not likely, says Gleckman. About half of the wealth of the rich is contained in privately held businesses that, unlike publicly traded stocks, are hard to value. He thinks the tax would raise far less than expected. Rich people wont stand by and pay taxes, he says.
They will hire expensive lawyers to avoid taxes. Similar problems would erode revenue from a proposed tax on financial transactions, he says.
Even with some added tax revenue, there still would be a $25 trillion gap between Sanderss spending plans and an equivalent amount of new tax revenue, says analyst Ben Ritz of the PPI. Federal spending would approach 40 percent of gross domestic product, up from about 20 percent now.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
pampango
(24,692 posts)Dont say We cant afford to try anything.
If you think Bernie cant do all he wants, I can accept that. Im sure FDR did enact all the things he wanted. If he, or Biden, can achieve some goals and leave some for a second term or next liberal president thats OK.
The US is a rich country. There is no reason why we cant offer our citizens a safety net, infrastructure and income equality that other developed countries have. I think Biden will move us in that direction. I also think that grand ideas serve a useful purpose.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(154,214 posts)There are good reasons why sanders has zero legislative accomplishments in the real world. sanders can not get any of his fellow Democratic members of congress to support his agenda and that is not going to change
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
pampango
(24,692 posts)preferences, Democrats in Congress (as well as republicans of course) would oppose his agenda despite his election victory? You might be right but that would be interesting.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(154,214 posts)In the real world, his fellow Democrats do not take his proposals seriously
Link to tweet
"Its impractical ... Theres not a chance in hell it would pass," he told ABC News Political Director Rick Klein, instead advocating for strengthening the Affordable Care Act -- or Obamacare -- and looking to pass a public option.
There are not enough Democratic votes to get this concept passed in the real world
Link to tweet
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
pampango
(24,692 posts)If - purely hypothetically - he got the votes to win a presidential election with his liberal policy ideas, it would be interesting to see how congressional Democrats would deal with the newly elected president.
FDR was fortunate in his day in that he had huge Democratic majorities in both houses that overwhelmed republican opposition to his expensive liberal proposals. No modern Democratic president is likely to have that kind of congressional support.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(154,214 posts)That is why the moderates of the party dropped out and are supporting Joe Biden. No one wants to see Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
pampango
(24,692 posts)Recent polls might indicate otherwise but what do they know.
My post concerned the hypothetical scenario in which he was elected and how congressional Democrats would respond.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Gothmog
(154,214 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
dflprincess
(28,459 posts)for a safety net in the U.S. is. Then the question will not be "How do we pay for it?" but "How do we not?"
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden