Middle East
Related: About this forumNBC: Fears grow of Israel-Iran missile shootout
With tensions between Israel and Iran running sky high over the latters nuclear program, U.S. officials and military analysts are growing increasingly concerned that Israel will launch a multi-phase air and missile attack that could trigger waves of retaliatory missile strikes from Tehran.
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The emerging consensus among current and former U.S. officials and other experts interviewed by NBC News is that that an Israeli attack would be a multi-faceted assault on key Iranian nuclear installations, involving strikes by both warplanes and missiles. It could also include targeted attacks by Israeli special operations forces and possibly even the use of massive explosives-laden drones, they say.
The Iranian response to such an attack is uncertain, but many experts and officials believe it is likely to include retaliatory missile strikes. Iran has more missiles in its arsenal than Israel, according to some estimates, and has the capability of striking targets in most Israeli population centers.
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Israel has as many as 100 Jericho ballistic missiles both short- and medium-range as well as submarine-launched cruise missiles, though the officials say they believe the latter are unlikely to be used. The short-range Jericho I missiles would be of no use in an attack on Iran, because the targets are far beyond its 300-mile range. However, the medium-range Jericho IIs are capable of hitting targets as far as 900 miles away or as far east as Tehran. Israel also tested a Jericho III intercontinental ballistic missile in 2008 and Israeli media have reported that it may have deployed one or more of the weapons, which would put all of Iran within reach.
Full: http://openchannel.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/28/10534518-fears-grow-of-israel-iran-missile-shootout
jimlup
(8,008 posts)This could escalate if the Israeli's decide to cross the line. This could get really ugly really fast.
Ruby the Liberal
(26,353 posts)The whole "it could happen soon" has been batted around for years now, but I don't think anyone doubts that if it does happen, it will get ugly and quick.
Hopefully, this is all still just war games projection.
jimlup
(8,008 posts)Go with a bunker busting nuke on the first strike... and tactical nukes at Iran missile sites to preempt an Iranian retaliation. That scares me quite a bit.
Ruby the Liberal
(26,353 posts)but I believe one of the concerns about a strike against Iran is that their development labs are so far underground that conventional bunker busters wouldn't be effective (wouldn't be able to get to the target).
I'll try to see if I can find that in print.
Edit - lots of sources. Heres one non-blog writeup:
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/22/world/middleeast/in-din-over-iran-echoes-of-iraq-war-news-analysis.html