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NNadir

(34,533 posts)
Wed Oct 23, 2024, 02:50 PM Oct 23

The 2024 IEA World Energy Outlook has been released; World Energy Demand Grew by 13 Exajoules, Solar and Wind by 2 EJ.

Last edited Thu Oct 24, 2024, 05:29 AM - Edit history (1)

The 2024 World Energy Outlook has been released by the IEA and I've added it to my files of these, going back 30 years with some deletions. As usual it includes data and soothsaying. The data mentioned in the title refers to changes between 2022 to 2023.

Here is the portion of Table A1 referring to primary energy production, the only kind of energy that matters, including both data and soothsaying.



The increased use of dangerous fossil fuels was 9 Exajoules (EJ), dangerous coal by 3 EJ, dangerous petroleum (for energy purposes) by 5 EJ, and dangerous natural gas by 1 EJ. Hydro decreased by 1 EJ, possibly because of worldwide droughts.

Overall, dangerous fossil fuels provided 512 EJ of the world energy supply in 2023, up from 503 EJ in 2022. In the "percent talk" used by advocates of so called "renewable energy" 80% of the world energy supply still comes from dangerous fossil fuels.

Solar and wind provided in 2023, combined, 16 EJ, up from 14 EJ in 2022. If, unlike me, you want to be impressed by this trillion dollar reactionary adventure, I invite you to engage in "percent talk" as usual, and announce to the easily astounded that these grew by 14%!!!!!!!

The trillion dollar reactionary adventure in solar and wind did not accomplish what its advocates really wanted, with their indifference to the use of fossil fuels, on which so called "renewable energy" depends, the elimination of nuclear energy, which grew infinity percent with respect to wind energy which had zero percent growth, but 50% as fast as solar, even with the marginal investment in new nuclear energy being compared with the massive expenditure on solar energy. Overall, solar and wind, in percent talk, provide 53% as much energy as nuclear does despite marginal investments in nuclear energy, this after decades of mindless cheering for solar and wind, and unyielding attacks on nuclear energy.

Don't worry, be happy, if you're a reactionary "renewables will save us" type, the soothsaying from the IEA, as has been the case for several decades, says solar and wind will grow, as Donold Trump puts it, "bigly."

In my opinion, if nuclear energy grows only by as much as is the soothsaying in these tables reports to only 49 EJ "by 2050," the world will be in a world of hurt.

According to a crude quadratic equation I put together from the data found at the Mauna Loa CO2 Observatory using high school level calculus and current data as boundary conditions, "by 2050" the concentration of the dangerous fossil fuel waste carbon dioxide should be somewhere around 515 ppm, compared to our 2024 peak of 427.93 ppm observed in the week beginning April 21st of this year.

The Disastrous 2024 CO2 Data Recorded at Mauna Loa: Yet Another Update.

Have a nice evening.

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