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California starts now!! Right! (Original Post) Her Sister Jun 2016 OP
GOGOGOGO Hillary!!! workinclasszero Jun 2016 #1
Nate Cohn says: spooky3 Jun 2016 #2
Yes makes sense! I had heard that earlier Her Sister Jun 2016 #4
First results in are outstanding! 68 to 32% ? Hekate Jun 2016 #3
Interesting savalez Jun 2016 #5
Thanks! Hekate Jun 2016 #6

spooky3

(35,600 posts)
2. Nate Cohn says:
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 11:10 PM
Jun 2016

"The polls have closed in California, and I have to warn you that this could take a while. Clinton is expected to have a big lead in the early vote, and then we wait. If this is close, the call might not come for a while: 75 percent of the vote might not be counted by tomorrow at noon Eastern."

http://www.nytimes.com/live/california-new-jersey-clinton-sanders/

 

Her Sister

(6,444 posts)
4. Yes makes sense! I had heard that earlier
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 11:12 PM
Jun 2016

That if not real obvious who's winning then it could take days! Plus mail ins are arriving in the following days!

Hekate

(93,572 posts)
3. First results in are outstanding! 68 to 32% ?
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 11:11 PM
Jun 2016

But there's tons out there drifting in from mail-in voters.

Still!

savalez

(3,517 posts)
5. Interesting
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 11:12 PM
Jun 2016
DAVID WASSERMAN 11:03 PM

Beware The Order Of California Returns
As polls close and we start getting results in the Golden State, remember that it’s wise not to get carried away by the very first numbers you see. According to top watchers in California, counties will generally report votes in the following order: 1) early mailed-in absentee votes 2) election day votes and 3) late mailed-in absentee votes.

According to Political Data’s Paul Mitchell, 69 percent of the 2.7 million early absentee votes mailed in for all primary races were from voters over 55 years old. That likely means the first batches of votes reported will be Clinton’s best. The next batches — the Election Day votes — could be Sanders’s best, and the late absentees could be somewhere in between.

So, don’t be surprised if we see the margin see-saw quite a bit over the course of the night. My hunch is that Clinton will prevail, but if it’s a close finish, remember that late absentees could take a long time to count.

fivethirtyeight.com
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