How come the political pundits rate 2022 US Senate Elections in OH and WI as Republican Favored?

[nkpolitics1212]

Most Public Opinion polls in OH show Ryan-D leading Vance-R?
The only 2 public opinion polls in WI show Barnes-D narrowly leading Johnson-R?

Democrats will win
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)CT(Blumenthal-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)OH(Ryan-D)
53)WI(Barnes-D)

[elleng]

1. for no GOOD reason, imo.

[PortTack]

2. Because that what the m$m does!!

[Indykatie]

3. OH Should Definitely Be "Lean Dem" - All 2022 Polls I Found Have Ryan Leading by 2-12 Points

I could only find 1 head to head poll for the WI race with a 2 point Barnes lead, within MOE. I think it's fair to consider WI as leaning GOP considering Johnson's incumbency.