How Democrats and Republicans view Georgia's early voting numbers
First, the Democrats. Senior advisers for Vice President Kamala Harris are well aware that voter participation rates in some ruby-red rural counties far outpaces more densely populated Democratic strongholds.
Harris number-crunchers see the 2022 midterm as the more relevant comparison and say they’re tracking above that turnout level. They expect this week to be the heaviest volume yet, particularly in metro Atlanta, and view their targets in reach.
Based on their modeling, nearly 20% of the Republican-leaning early voters so far this cycle cast Election Day ballots in 2022, compared with 10% of Democratic-leaning early voters. To them, that indicates a GOP “mode shift” toward earlier voting but not a major change in the size of the pro-Donald Trump electorate.
Women are outvoting men in Georgia by about 10 percentage points, an encouraging sign for a Democrat who polls well ahead of the former president with women voters. And according to Democratic analysis, turnout among Black women in the metro Atlanta suburbs is 40% higher in this cycle than at this point in 2020....
In DeKalb County, the second-biggest trove of likely Harris votes behind Fulton, turnout is just now catching up to the levels reached by many smaller, Trump friendly counties.
https://www.ajc.com/politics/politically-georgia/politically-georgia-reading-the-early-voting-tea-leaves/RFGNGJRXRFGJFFC4G6QMG2WZKE/