Yahoo News/YouGov poll: Harris surges to 5-point lead over Trump among registered voters in head-to-head matchup
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In previous Yahoo News/YouGov polls one following last months Democratic National Convention and one released immediately after the vice president entered the race on July 21 Harris and Trump were effectively tied. Harriss best showing was a narrow 47% to 46% edge in August.
But the new poll of 1,755 U.S. adults one of the first conducted after the Sept. 10 debate shows Harris (50%) surging to a five-point lead over Trump (45%) among registered voters in a head-to-head matchup. She leads by a similar margin when third-party candidates are included (48% to 44%) and when only likely voters are surveyed (49% to 45%).
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Harriss new lead is more about her gaining ground than Trump slipping. While the former president has held steady around 45%, Harris is now winning a significantly higher share of Democrats (95% vs. 90%) and 2020 Biden voters (92% vs. 80%) than Biden was.
Harris is also performing 4 points better than Biden was among Latin Americans, 5 points better among women, 14 points better among Black Americans and 17 points better among Americans ages 18 to 29. (These groups have small sample sizes and therefore larger margins of error than the survey as a whole.) And Harris is flipping independents as well. Before Tuesdays debate, Harris trailed Trump by 9 points (35% to 44%) with that crucial bloc; she now leads by 10 (47% to 37%).
https://www.yahoo.com/news/new-yahoo-newsyougov-poll-after-debate-harris-surges-to-5-point-lead-over-trump-among-registered-voters-in-head-to-head-matchup-122213811.html?.tsrc=daily_mail&segment_id=DY_VTO&ncid=crm_19908-1202929-20240915-0&bt_user_id=ikNl77sYNzctqxYBzZ7%2FLCGvoO9FEPtKhMLGHAiUOt2RiOkvqXB%2BFicHFdV0fe2C&bt_ts=1726393778085