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question everything

(48,460 posts)
Thu May 16, 2024, 11:17 PM May 2024

Do Americans Remember the Actual Trump Presidency? - Kilgore, New York Magazine

(snip)

No matter what you think of Donald Trump, there is zero doubt that two events during his presidency will forever leap off the pages of history books and dwarf anything else that happened: the outbreak of a pandemic that killed over a million Americans and a mob attack on the U.S. Capitol aimed at preventing Joe Biden’s confirmation as president-elect. But when the New York Times/Siena polling outfit asked voters “to describe the one thing they remembered most from Donald J. Trump’s presidency, only 5 percent of respondents referred to Jan. 6, and only 4 percent to COVID.” 39 percent cited “Trump’s behavior” as most memorable, and another 24 percent named “the economy.”

(snip)

The Times’ own analysis of these rather startling numbers attributes them to “recency bias,” suggesting that voters are letting their current concerns (particularly about inflation) distort their memories of the not-so-distant past. But they also suggest that voters have formed a fixed opinion of Trump and his presidency that may be very difficult to change. If COVID and January 6 are not front of mind when voters think of 2020 and 2021, and the economy as it was in 2019 is recalled as Elysian, what does that say about the Biden campaign’s efforts to remind people of Trump’s responsibility for the reversal of Roe v. Wade? Will voters accept that a Very Bad Thing that happened long after Trump left office was actually his fault?

As it happens, a new survey of registered voters was released last week from Navigator Research showing that a sizable number of Americans, incredibly enough, held Biden responsible for “the overturning of Roe v. Wade and the elimination of the federal right to an abortion.” That opinion was held by 34 percent of self-identified independents, 32 percent of Black voters, and 42 percent of Hispanic voters. It helps explain why the Biden campaign is devoting so much energy to connecting the dots between Trump’s Supreme Court appointments and the Dobbs decision. But it also suggests public perceptions of Trump are very hard to change, and that’s a big problem for Democrats.

In the end, unless the mood of the electorate about current conditions in the country gets a lot sunnier, Biden’s reelection prospects depend almost entirely on making this a comparative contest in which a plurality of voters firmly reject Trump based on what they know about the 45th president. You don’t have to hate Trump to observe that he actually took his predecessor’s middling economy and did everything within his power to increase inequality, bungled the federal response to COVID-19 and worsened its human and economic impact, and then became the first losing presidential candidate since 1876 to refuse to concede defeat once the states certified his opponent’s victory. But if persuadable voters dismiss all that and think of him as a foulmouthed, erratic politician who nonetheless showered them with prosperity, then he will be hard to beat.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/opinion/do-americans-remember-the-actual-trump-presidency/ar-BB1mkhiD


35 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Do Americans Remember the Actual Trump Presidency? - Kilgore, New York Magazine (Original Post) question everything May 2024 OP
I think it is because we have replaced journalism with angertainmemt Walleye May 2024 #1
Short attention span. Very short Bristlecone May 2024 #2
Memories of TSF give me PTSD. no_hypocrisy May 2024 #3
THIS. KPN May 2024 #23
no. too numb to remember most of it AllaN01Bear May 2024 #4
This is why I'm DownriverDem May 2024 #5
Only half of us vote. Even many who do aren't Evolve Dammit May 2024 #6
Let's just come right out and say it: Trump followers are the dumbest, least informed people in the country. sop May 2024 #7
I find that poll really hard to believe karin_sj May 2024 #8
This message was self-deleted by its author Chin music May 2024 #27
My main memories birdographer May 2024 #9
Trump is a nightmare bmichaelh May 2024 #10
I am sorry for the hardship that you have been going through. It was reported that the R's dropped question everything May 2024 #21
The strength, and the weakness, of democracy markodochartaigh May 2024 #11
They remember cheap gas and low inflation. The Mouth May 2024 #12
It is important to emphasize new jobs and higher wages. question everything May 2024 #22
It's usually always the economy SomedayKindaLove May 2024 #24
correct Skittles May 2024 #28
"the twaddle coming from any government agency says inflation should account for." progree May 2024 #35
Unfortunately nowforever May 2024 #13
i remember that it hurt so good poozwah May 2024 #14
it makes no sense and i think something is wrong with the sample pool samsingh May 2024 #15
More like the gene pool. LudwigPastorius May 2024 #17
NYT polling? intheflow May 2024 #16
Such polls are tests of corporate news companies. Corporate news is failing. Hermit-The-Prog May 2024 #18
All I remember is the daily (sickening) press conferences that he liked/wanted to lead, and have everyone listen SWBTATTReg May 2024 #19
DONALD TRUMP IS AN YoshidaYui May 2024 #20
Because we have a sadistic news network that has it in for half of the population. Initech May 2024 #25
could say the same about the Supreme Court Skittles May 2024 #26
A product of the Trump administration, and Trump was a product of Fox. Initech May 2024 #30
Messaging by the Dems just doesn't stick SomedayKindaLove May 2024 #29
I'll never forget Marthe48 May 2024 #31
Americans do. Magats not so much. nt Xipe Totec May 2024 #32
The book just about writes itself! Aussie105 May 2024 #33
When they "remember" the economy under Trump, I'm sure they remember a fantasy economy tclambert May 2024 #34

Walleye

(33,941 posts)
1. I think it is because we have replaced journalism with angertainmemt
Thu May 16, 2024, 11:31 PM
May 2024

If only we had reporters to write what is actually going on, instead of pundits trying to predict what’s going to happen

Bristlecone

(10,350 posts)
2. Short attention span. Very short
Fri May 17, 2024, 12:11 AM
May 2024

Fighting over toilet paper and refrigerator trucks with the dead stacked like lumber. Will never forget that monster’s gross negligence. This is but a small sample.

DownriverDem

(6,470 posts)
5. This is why I'm
Fri May 17, 2024, 09:48 AM
May 2024

worried. It's not just I don't want him. It's trump will destroy the country. Folks have to see that white repubs want a white country. They want to drag us back to the 1950s. I just can't believe this could happen.

Evolve Dammit

(18,001 posts)
6. Only half of us vote. Even many who do aren't
Fri May 17, 2024, 09:52 AM
May 2024

Very well informed. The other half either don’t want to know or can’t be bothered. Long as you got a big tee vee and a sack of cheetos, Americans can be in their happy place.

sop

(11,078 posts)
7. Let's just come right out and say it: Trump followers are the dumbest, least informed people in the country.
Fri May 17, 2024, 10:05 AM
May 2024

These days Americans' political affiliation is determined by how intelligent and informed they are. There's no other explanation.

karin_sj

(1,030 posts)
8. I find that poll really hard to believe
Fri May 17, 2024, 10:10 AM
May 2024

And I do not trust the Times anymore. In fact, all of these polls that have Biden and the Orange Turd running neck and neck seem totally unbelievable to me. Maybe I'm a hopeless optimist, but I believe that far more people will vote against Trump than for him. And I believe that they do remember the pandemic and the insurrection and that will be a huge part of their decision.

Response to karin_sj (Reply #8)

birdographer

(2,185 posts)
9. My main memories
Fri May 17, 2024, 10:36 AM
May 2024

are the extreme embarrassment of being an American. His pushing world leaders aside to stand in front of them. His sitting alone at tables while others socialize behind him. His wandering off a stage where he was to address an audience. So many more. Just the constant humiliation of living in a country where he is the president.

bmichaelh

(536 posts)
10. Trump is a nightmare
Fri May 17, 2024, 10:36 AM
May 2024

I remember Trump.

Personally, I may NOT survive another Trump presidency.

Currently, I am in my third remission of lymphoma.
I was first diagnosed some 35 years ago.
I am in maintenance treatments for lymphoma that cost approximately 1 million a year.

If he repeals ACA with a compliant Senate and Congress, maintenance treatments would probably stop.
Each time, lymphoma returns it gets more aggressive and previous treatments do not work.
When it returned in 2019 after 2 years of Trump's attempted repeal, four different types of treatments failed.
Luckily, we found a treatment that work.

There is more detailed history and I plan on posting this perhaps on Twitter sometime in the fall.

It might cost me my job.
My supervisor does not like Biden.

question everything

(48,460 posts)
21. I am sorry for the hardship that you have been going through. It was reported that the R's dropped
Fri May 17, 2024, 02:16 PM
May 2024

repealing the ACA from their platform but a vengeful Whiny might revive it just because.

We can only hope.


markodochartaigh

(1,702 posts)
11. The strength, and the weakness, of democracy
Fri May 17, 2024, 10:50 AM
May 2024

is that, sooner or later, the voters will get the government that they deserve. Ignorance and apathy are the Achilles' heels of democracy and for many Americans political ignorance and apathy are considered virtues.

The Mouth

(3,252 posts)
12. They remember cheap gas and low inflation.
Fri May 17, 2024, 11:13 AM
May 2024

No matter how much the left talks about 'record corporate profits' or greedy CEOs, what it comes down to is that it now costs 2-3 times as much to fill up a big work truck and the same bag of groceries costs one HELL of a lot more than the twaddle coming from any government agency says inflation should account for.

The Biden administration has 4-6 months to understand: gas needs to be below $2 a gallon, we need to be drilling, building new natural gas plants, planning nuke plants, and getting rid of any planned regulations that make a single damned thing more expensive. No matter the 'cost' to people with other priorities than the economy.

The economy is more important than *all* other issues, from racism, to climate change, to Gaza - put together and squared. Anyone is free to disagree, but they might as well work a phone bank for Trump and buy a dozen MAGA hats or Trump bibles for friends and family if they do.

IT'S THE ECONOMY.

question everything

(48,460 posts)
22. It is important to emphasize new jobs and higher wages.
Fri May 17, 2024, 02:23 PM
May 2024

I hope that the infrastructure bill that passed two years ago is being implemented now. To point at new bridges and better roads and to put signs reporting. I kinda remember similar signs when Obama passed a smaller bill.

Will be nice to point to someone and to ask how much they paid for basic items and that even though the items are more expensive the purchasing power is the same.

I wonder whether such information is available.

SomedayKindaLove

(845 posts)
24. It's usually always the economy
Fri May 17, 2024, 05:58 PM
May 2024

People often vote their wallets/pocketbooks.

The problem with Biden is he’s saying the economy is great with the stock market and higher wages, but the reality is most people don’t have stocks. They see higher prices everywhere and think Trump will make things inexpensive again.

Xenophobia and inflation are looking like R’s ticket to the White House. And if I’m not mistaken that’s how Hitler rose to power.

Skittles

(157,026 posts)
28. correct
Fri May 17, 2024, 06:28 PM
May 2024

doesn't matter if DOW is 40,000 if you don't have stocks and are being squeezed by ever-rising prices

progree

(11,449 posts)
35. "the twaddle coming from any government agency says inflation should account for."
Sat May 18, 2024, 08:43 AM
May 2024
what it comes down to is that it now costs 2-3 times as much to fill up a big work truck and the same bag of groceries costs one HELL of a lot more than the twaddle coming from any government agency says inflation should account for.

I don't know if this is in reference to the common myth that the government inflation stats (CPI, PCE, PPI) don't include gasoline and food. They do. And in proportion to the amount purchased.
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

nowforever

(377 posts)
13. Unfortunately
Fri May 17, 2024, 11:21 AM
May 2024

His minions are fixated on Donald's incoherent rantings, so his repeating "The economy was greatest ever" resonates in their heads and it then becomes a truth. And you really cannot fix stupid.

poozwah

(232 posts)
14. i remember that it hurt so good
Fri May 17, 2024, 11:29 AM
May 2024

amnesia and masochism combined with apathy may very well give us a 2nd trump term. this country is going to heil.

Hermit-The-Prog

(36,145 posts)
18. Such polls are tests of corporate news companies. Corporate news is failing.
Fri May 17, 2024, 01:19 PM
May 2024

Or, to look at it another way, such polls are corporate news' means of seeing if they are getting their intended message across to their intended targets.

Oligarchs prefer an oligarchy.

SWBTATTReg

(23,556 posts)
19. All I remember is the daily (sickening) press conferences that he liked/wanted to lead, and have everyone listen
Fri May 17, 2024, 01:28 PM
May 2024

to him 24x7.

Then, besides the golf, that's it. He didn't really do anything else. He's lazy. Always was.

Initech

(101,118 posts)
30. A product of the Trump administration, and Trump was a product of Fox.
Fri May 17, 2024, 06:34 PM
May 2024

Seriously, like all of our current woes can be traced back to that POS network somehow.

SomedayKindaLove

(845 posts)
29. Messaging by the Dems just doesn't stick
Fri May 17, 2024, 06:33 PM
May 2024

It seems like a whisper in a shouting chamber.

R’s own radio, TV and X and they send group emails to friends that George Soros is spending 80 million dollars to censor them (that was the BIG breaking “news” yesterday afternoon, picked up by EVERY right-winged news outlet. I only heard about it because a MAGAite includes me in his emails. The big news in the AM was that 148 Democrats voted against deporting migrants who assault cops. Fox, Yahoo, Newsweek were happy to provide a list of every Dem who voted against. A complete dog and pony vote. Never mind that with all the migrants in the country there is one story of migrants assaulting cops. More cops were assaulted during the Trump picnic on January 6th (as the right like to portray it).

R’s don’t seem interested in governing, or aren’t very good at it. Red states have lower life expectancies, higher crime rates per capita, and more chronic illnesses. One thing R’s do know how to do is manipulate the masses. Keep telling the same lies over and over and over and it eventually becomes the truth. Dems say something once and think the point will get across or that they have won the issue. It doesn’t work that way anymore. There’s more than 3 channels now.

There are very dark forces in America that wants Trump to be President again. The only way to beat him is a huge turnout. Vote and get someone else leaning or who usually doesn’t vote to vote as well.

Aussie105

(5,992 posts)
33. The book just about writes itself!
Fri May 17, 2024, 08:34 PM
May 2024

Some future historian will write a big tome about this part of American history.

Chapters dealing with the pre-Trump years, chapters on the Trump presidency, chapters on America after Trump.

But this saga isn't finished yet, not until Trump has been irrevocably removed from politics, and the GOP learns to stand on its own two feet, and become socially acceptable again.

It's going to be compulsory reading for generations to come.

Working title:

How America avoided becoming another Russia.
or
Saving the Republic from Dictatorship.

tclambert

(11,121 posts)
34. When they "remember" the economy under Trump, I'm sure they remember a fantasy economy
Fri May 17, 2024, 11:12 PM
May 2024

one where Trump saved us from a deep recession caused by Barack Obama, created a record number of jobs (largely due to the pandemic they don't remember, he actually lost jobs), cut THEIR taxes, not just the taxes of the super-rich, and reduced the federal deficit. They also think that Joe Biden is making the economy much, much worse.

And you can't point out the truth to them because any debunking of their hero's claims is just "fake news." Fantasy is so much easier than actually checking facts. And believing in total nonsense just proves the power of their faith.

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