U.S. Intelligence Says Iran Government Is Not At Risk Of Collapse, Say Sources

[BumRushDaShow]

Source: Huff Post/Reuters

Mar 11, 2026, 08:09 PM EDT


NEW YORK/WASHINGTON, March 11 (Reuters) - U.S. intelligence indicates that Iran’s leadership is still largely intact and is not at risk of collapse any time soon after nearly two weeks of relentless U.S. and Israeli bombardment, according to three sources familiar with the matter.

A “multitude” of intelligence reports provide “consistent analysis that the regime is not in danger” of collapse and “retains control of the Iranian public,” said one of the sources, all of whom were granted anonymity to discuss U.S. intelligence findings.

The latest report was completed within the last few days, the source said.

With political pressure building over soaring oil costs, President Donald Trump has suggested he will end the biggest U.S. military operation since 2003 “soon.” But finding an acceptable end to the war could be difficult if Iran’s hardline leaders remain firmly entrenched.

Read more: https://www.huffpost.com/entry/us-intelligence-iran-government_n_69b1fe11e4b0ab06e5f45a5b

[Irish_Dem]

1. Putin thought he could take Ukraine in three days.

Didn't work out that way for him.
He was shocked and furious.

[WSHazel]

2. Unconditional surrender was a huge mistake

That statement was phenomenally stupid. There is no reason for the Iranian regime to negotiate with that threat over its head.

There was intense debate on its use in World War II despite the horrifying evil of the Nazi regime, because the allies knew demanding unconditional surrender would cause components of the Nazi regime to fight to the death.

By coming across vindictive and arbitrary, the Trump administration has given the rest of the world no reason to trust it.

[OC375]

3. Control of the public

Odd turn of phrase. Kinda nda chilling, actually. Does our government have “control of the public”? What does that mean or imply?

[hatrack]

4. Welp, time to fire some intelligence officers!

But don't worry - Steiner's counterattack will set everything right.

[Lonestarblue]

5. Trump has boxed himself into a corner.

His only real concern is the stock market, which continues to fall. I'm sure he's demanding advisers to create some excuse for ending the war. MAGA Republicans will believe any excuse, no matter how flimsy. He'll probably just claim that he achieved all his objectives and Iran has no capability to produce nuclear weapons. End of story, and on to Cuba, the next country to destabilize and take over to steal its rare earths.

[LiberalLovinLug]

11. Hussein Obama's covert Deep State tipped off the Islamic regime!

[JohnnyRingo]

6. Heads will roll over this assessment.

If it doesn't fit the WH narrative it's fake news. Fire the messenger!

I wonder how many times Sean Hannity turned down a position? I'm just sure he offered Hannity a job generating propaganda or policy decisions, but Sean isn't passing up a Fox News paycheck for public service. I'd be surprised if he isn't getting money under the table anyway.

[Ray Bruns]

7. File this under "No Shit Sherlock!"

[SpankMe]

8. Of course it's not at risk of collapse

The strikes killed one major leader and a bunch of military installations. They've already seated a new leader who's worse than the last one, and the Revolutionalry Guard - plus all their weaponry and other "tools of the trade" - remains intact, as does their legislature. Pictures and reports I've seen over the last few days indicate the new leader has vast support throughout the country.

My reading is that those Iranians who were opposed to the old regime and welcomed the decapitation at the top are in a minority.

Trump was expecting the Iranians would hold ticker tape parades and welcome their liberators. Awareness of what led up to the 1979 revolution, and what's happened since, should tell anyone that regime change there isn't possible and that embargos and containment is (or, was) the only viable strategy for the time being.

Trump Hegseth are assholes...corrupt and incompetent and with a Christian nationalist death wish.

[Deep State Witch]

9. Not Surprised

For the last few years of my time in the IC, I was watching Iran. They have been planning for an attack from Israel and the US for pretty much as long as the Islamic Republic has been around. They have multiple layers of leadership.

[Ford_Prefect]

10. Iran spent decades preparing to be attacked in force by western militaries.

Their government and infrastructure was built in overlapping layers to defend from just as Trump & Bibi tried to do.
Britain, Germany, and many other allies told Trump this was a very bad idea for just those reasons. All reasonable advice was ignored by our spoiled 5 year old whiner.

[Vinca]

12. How about the U.S. government? There doesn't seem to be one competent person in this administration.