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senseandsensibility

(26,194 posts)
Thu Jul 9, 2026, 06:53 PM Yesterday

ME Senate race has kind of taken up all the oxygen lately, but Talarico

is doing great in TX according to a Houston Chronicle reporter who is on Ari Melbar's show right now. He says that the candidates are tied (I know, how is that possible? Answer: it's Texas), but there are some data points that are really good for Talarico.

He is at forty percent with Independents, which is higher than Allred or O'Rourke. Paxton is also at only twenty percent with Independents, and not likely to climb much higher since Independents are very upset with the party turning their back on Cornyn.

This reporter also admitted, though, that Talarico has his work cut out for him to win more votes in the black community. There still seems to be some reluctance among Jasmine Crockett voters to fully embrace him. I think it would be great if he visited black churches as John Ossoff is doing.

Anyway, maybe with some of the attention off Maine for a while, other races will start to
get more attention. There are so many close ones, and we need them all!

18 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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LisaL

(48,264 posts)
1. It's TX.
Thu Jul 9, 2026, 06:59 PM
Yesterday

We got our hopes up too many times only to get them crushed.
But he seems to be doing better than previous candidates, so who knows...

Torchlight

(7,405 posts)
4. Also keep in mind that
Thu Jul 9, 2026, 07:05 PM
Yesterday

Taylor Rehmet won more than 70% of indepdent voters in his recent Texas Senate upset, won 30% of voters who had previously participated in Republican primaries and won 80% of the Hispanic vote. All this in a deep red Texas county.

Early days, but it's hard not to get excited about it.

senseandsensibility

(26,194 posts)
5. Is he from a swing district?
Thu Jul 9, 2026, 07:12 PM
Yesterday

Sorry I don't know much about TX politics but I do like to hear from the locals.

Torchlight

(7,405 posts)
7. District in a solid red county (Tarrant)
Thu Jul 9, 2026, 07:31 PM
Yesterday

which trump has won by 15% or more (I'm basing this off memory), held by GOP since early or mid-nineties (at least). Dem turnout was the key helped by underperfoming GOP voters.

Here's a really great local news story about the districtct itself (which I gew up adjacent to).

https://www.lonestarleft.com/p/how-important-is-tarrant-county-in-6eb

And to clarify: this election was for a Texas senate seat.

Boo1

(758 posts)
8. Staying tied is what he needs to do.
Thu Jul 9, 2026, 07:35 PM
Yesterday

There aren't going to be many folks in October and November breaking for Paxton all of the sudden. Keep it close and finish when it counts.

MissouriDem47

(471 posts)
10. The Last Few Cycles
Thu Jul 9, 2026, 08:15 PM
23 hrs ago

We have heard and seen the same enthusiasm, but the results aren't that close. Hope this year will be different.

Grins

(9,641 posts)
11. Jasmine Crockett should step up and in.
Thu Jul 9, 2026, 08:45 PM
22 hrs ago

Bad form on her part if she doesn’t. If she wants to remain in politics she should know that people and Parties have memories.

ananda

(35,941 posts)
13. I hope there isn't some sort of Black purity test for Talarico.
Thu Jul 9, 2026, 09:14 PM
22 hrs ago

I will never understand why Dems are held to a higher
standard than Republicans (who really have no standards
whatsoever that aren't completely white based and self-
serving.

Ars Longa

(733 posts)
16. I wonder if Sen Rev Warnock, Rev. Al sharpton ect.. can come in and
Thu Jul 9, 2026, 09:31 PM
22 hrs ago

help??
I'm extremely disappointed in J.Crockett!!

PunkinPi

(5,318 posts)
18. Jasmine's focus is on the down ballot races in TX...
Fri Jul 10, 2026, 07:08 AM
12 hrs ago

which, from her perspective, will increase turnout for Talarico.



(sorry for the xitter link, but that's where I saw it)

FakeNoose

(43,332 posts)
15. I wonder if Chump will come to Texas and campaign for Paxton?
Thu Jul 9, 2026, 09:27 PM
22 hrs ago

I wonder if they even want him to come ... but that's another issue.

By the reports I've seen in DU, Talarico is doing well in fundraising and he's picking up a lot of newer younger voters. That's a good sign, but those voters are hard to predict. I believe there are certain areas of the state that are very purple, and even shades of blue. If the D voters come out in November, and if the Rs stay home, then Talarico will have a real chance to win this.

summer_in_TX

(4,394 posts)
17. Trump is teasing the first-ever national Republican mid-term convention in Dallas in September.
Fri Jul 10, 2026, 12:59 AM
18 hrs ago

He'll definitely be campaigning for Paxton after endorsing him in the Senate runoff election with Cornyn. He'll be crowing about "his" win.

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