Is Russia losing Crimea?

[blue-wave]

One of Ukraine's most important objectives in the war against Russia is to recapture the occupied Crimean Peninsula from Russian control. Many analysts and politicians said it wasn't possible - but it's now beginning to happen. Let's talk about how Ukraine is sieging Crimea, destroying Russia's air defense systems and Crimea's infrastructure, including oil terminals and the Kerch Strait Bridge.

Skip over the commercial from 2:00 minutes to 3:30 if you wish.

[Amishman]

1. Russia isn't losing Crimea - yet

But the blueprint is there to see how it could easily happen.

Russia's supply to Crimea is the Kerch bridge and the overland route (primarily the M14 highway).

Ukraine's starting to put frequent drone pressure all the way to the land highway route.

They have eliminated most of Russia's ferry and landing ship capacity in the Black Sea.

That leaves the Kerch bridge. If it is broken, Russia then lacks any supply method of decent capacity that is not under duress.

IMO this is the general model for any battlefield victory for Ukraine - total drone domination over Russian positions to the point where resupply (men or materials) becomes impossible.

[blue-wave]

2. I hope the "yet"

is eliminated very soon.