New Quinnipiac: PA: Harris 51%, Trump 45% - MI: Harris 50%, Trump 45% -WI: Harris 48%, Trump 47%

[kpete]

PENNSYLVANIA: Harris 51%, Trump 45%, Stein 1%, Oliver 1%
MICHIGAN: Harris 50%, Trump 45%, Stein 2%
WISCONSIN: Harris 48%, Trump 47%, Stein 1%
https://pastebin.com/raw/dJJ9jEBh
https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3905

[Trenzalore]

1. I knew Wisconsin had to have been showing as tight in the Harris Internals

Walz is practically living there

[Wanderlust988]

2. No matter the poll, Trump's ceiling is 47%

I don't think I've yet to see a poll recently where he breaks 50%.

[Johnny2X2X]

3. This is fantastic news!

Very respected pollster.

[calguy]

4. Talked to some of my buddies last night who live in Wisconsin

They both live in red areas of the state, and they said they aren't seeing near the numbers of trump flags and yard signs they did the last two times he ran. Fwiw

[lindysalsagal]

5. I saw t%$&# flags and signs in urban and rural NY state this week.And he has no chance, there.

In this age of instant information, it boggles my mind why they would even bother. What is their message? Racism? Stupidity?

[sanevoiceus]

6. Racism plus

They are not subtle about racism. They are also sweetening it with toxic misogyny.

[NCDem47]

14. My theory...

MAGAs have toned down their outward support, enthusiasm, and pride in that ridiculous candidate. Even THEY realize he’s damaged goods. But so what. In secret at polling booth, they’ll still vote for him.

[Fiendish Thingy]

7. Harris' lead among LV's in PA is just (barely) outside the MOE

First time I’ve seen that in a PA poll.

WI, on the other hand, puzzles me; in other recent polls, Harris had the largest lead in WI among the Blue Wall/Rust Belt states.

[PortTack]

15. And for me...that is why I don't pay much attention to the polls.

WI, PA and MI have only voted once for the gqp candidate once in the last 30+ yrs. They will be blue

[Fiendish Thingy]

23. Cool graph- thanks for sharing! Nt

[dsp3000]

22. It's crazy. All i see here in bucks county are trump signs.

I know the asshole from the newtown athletic club is giving out those signs. They are posted on lawns of people who live on all the busy roads and intersections. What's even more obnoxious. The ups store near me had a small little sticker on the door right by the handle that says " trump will eliminate taxes on wages". Subliminal bs

[Jose Garcia]

8. Wow. This is the first poll I've seen with a Harris lead the margin of error

[kansasobama]

9. What is going on in WI

That is very surprising

[Johnny2X2X]

10. It's 1 poll

The data in Wisconsin overall is good for Harris, stronger than PA and MI, despite this 1 poll.

The Harris-Walz campaign is hammering PA, WI, MI, and NC right now. That's what they see as the best path to victory and they lead in all 4.

[kansasobama]

11. Have not seen Harris lead in NC post debate polls

I understand but....

[Johnny2X2X]

13. Trump leads by 0.1 in NC right now in the poll average

It's a tossup as it is.

[Takket]

12. Putin is going to need to give stein a lot more money to help prop her up.

[DownriverDem]

16. Also in Michigan

Kennedy is on the ballot. He waited too long to get off the ballot.

[LAS14]

17. Is this a debate bump? Asking those more knowledgable than I...

... about reading polls.

[bagimin]

30. I'm gonna put my very old ignorant ass on the line here...

Yes, yes it is! All praise to Kamala.

[senseandsensibility]

18. As Garrett Haake (of all people) tweeted

if Harris wins these three states she wins the election, even if the rest of the battleground states go red. He seems a little more perceptive on twitter than he does on the teevee.

[IronLionZion]

19. Almost, that's 269. She still needs one more electoral vote

from a place like Omaha, Nebraska.

[Jack Valentino]

25. Recent polling has shown Harris winning the "red" congressional district in Maine,

which also splits its electoral vote.... so that would be the one extra electoral vote if they do win it.

Didn't expect that to be in play, but I don't know anything about the district...

[ArkansasDemocrat1]

26. Which would be amazing!

[KS Toronado]

20. On election night TSF will be telling his MAGAts

They're cheating me again out of my White House, I was always ahead in the polls. And the
MAGAts will believe him because they won't see these numbers on RW media.

And what will they be willing to do for him?

[Pinback]

21. "I was ahead

before they counted all the votes by the suckers and losers serving overseas.”

[Oopsie Daisy]

24. Who are Stein's voters this time around? I remember in 2016 it was largely *

* coming from voters who resented Bernie's loss in the primary and wanted to "punish" the Democrats, or something like that. This time, we don't have as many disappointed progressives wanting to teach Democrats a lesson (not including the Vote Uncommitted movement) so it's unclear to me who's actually supporting Stein and what they expect to happen? Do her voters know she has no chance of winning?

Maybe this time they are anti-Trump protest voters.

[Person of Interest]

27. I am eagerly awaiting...

To see how the howling, screaming children on CNN's discussion panels will spin these numbers as bad news for VP Harris ["Harris holds a razor thin lead in national polls but there are ominous signs for the 'Democrat' candidate"].

However, if Herr Trump had these numbers they'd proclaim the race is over and there's no reason to even have an election. Just coronate the Reich Wing Dear Leader and call it a day.

[Johnny2X2X]

28. These have now been added to 538s state polling averages

PA now Harris +1.7
MI now Harris +2.3
Wi now Harris +2.7

They effected the prediction model too which is now 63-37 in favor of Harris on their simulations.

[kpete]

29. I know, no complacency but

Joy is a good thing again, right?
kp

[Johnny2X2X]

31. All hands are on deck

We are winning.

Also, Republican fuinded pollster, Trafalagar has Harris +2 in NV today.

[bagimin]

32. I got 5 biopsies at the dermatologist today

I needed this.