Per Gallup, Democratic enthusiasm hasn't been measured at this level since 2008

[ColinC]

Last edited Mon Sep 16, 2024, 01:17 PM - Edit history (1)

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Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents are largely driving the surge in enthusiasm nationally. In March, 55% of Democrats and Democratic leaners said they were more enthusiastic than usual about voting; now, 78% are. Republicans and Republican leaners, who held a slight edge in enthusiasm in March, now trail Democrats by a significant margin, with their current 64% enthusiasm score up slightly from 59% in the spring.

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The Aug. 1-20 poll also finds 79% of Americans saying they have given “quite a lot” of thought to the election, surpassing the previous August high of 74% in 2008.

Given that more Americans typically pay attention to the election closer to Election Day than do in August, 2024 is poised to establish a new high in election thought at the conclusion of the campaign. Currently, the 84% from 2004 is the highest Gallup has measured immediately before Election Day.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/649397/democrats-drive-surge-election-enthusiasm.aspx

[Historic NY]

1. When Obama was running

[rogerballard]

2. Massive voter registration and massive voter turnout is key

We have a lot of +'s on our side, momentum, energy and candidates, the Harris campaign has a winning strategy and I bet Obama is helping quite a bit behind the scenes. Pretty Obama map from 2008, it is fun to go to https://www.270towin.com/ and play with the interactive map and see what happens when you take key states in and out of the equation.

[lees1975]

3. With a few differences in the number of electoral votes allocated to each state, and the way that map is configured,

I'd be willing to bet that's pretty close. I'd be betting on this map.

https://www.270towin.com/maps/YL6Jw

[rogerballard]

4. Is that your map?

You made? I was doing it earlier, I have to stop myself lol

[lees1975]

5. That's mine.