Senate Republican candidates are trailing Donald Trump

[RandySF]

The Republican Party has largely refashioned itself in former president Donald Trump’s image in the past five years, with downballot candidates jockeying for his endorsement, hugging him tightly on the campaign trail and embracing his policy initiatives.

But many of these same candidates running for the Senate have not replicated the former president’s performance in the polls as Election Day approaches, a gap that is raising concerns among Republican campaigns and fundraisers who fear their candidates are running out of time to win over voters they should already have in hand.

The Senate map this year still heavily favors Republicans, with all of the most competitive races for seats held by Democrats, and polling suggests they are on track to flip the Senate red. But Republicans in seven of the eight key Senate races appear to be trailing Trump, and only one GOP Senate candidate — Montana Republican Tim Sheehy — consistently leads his Democratic opponent, Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.), making control of the Senate more up in the air than might have been predicted.

In the House, where Republicans hold a slim four-seat majority and control of the chamber will be hotly contested in November, the phenomenon of GOP candidates trailing Trump appears less pronounced and less likely to affect the outcome. Fewer voters appear willing to split their tickets, and more Republicans than Democrats represent districts won by the opposite party’s president in 2020. House Republicans are defending 16 seats in districts Joe Biden won in 2020, while House Democrats are defending just five seats Trump won.


https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/15/senate-election-trump-republicans/

[Grown2Hate]

3. But you're showing WV as blue. There's

no way we hold that seat. So if we lose MT too (and hold the rest), it's 49 D, 51 R.

We either have to come from behind and win MT and/or win in FL (with polling SUPER tight on that one). I'm hoping it's both, but WV is lost.

[ColinC]

4. Doggonit! That's the second time I've made that mistake... I take it back. That statement is true.

[ColinC]

5. We would need to flip Florida or Texas -or keep Montana.

I think all those things are possible, but polling is showing it could be tough.

[duncang]

2. In Texas

Senator Cornyn did better than tfg. With Cancun Cruz I’m sure he will do worse than tfg.

[lees1975]

6. Montana's polling data has been all over the place.

I doubt Tester loses that seat. The article also leaves out that there are Democrats in red states running well within margins of error on polls, such as in Florida, Texas and in Missouri, where local polls show Lucas Kunce in the lead, by as much as 6 in some polls. So polls for this, polls for that, polls for everything, and I'll bet we have a Democratic party led house and senate comfortably after November.